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〈北部〉《選情分析》藍營母雞帶小雞 綠營恐陷入苦戰 – 我是在地人

〈北部〉《選情分析》藍營母雞帶小雞 綠營恐陷入苦戰

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記者江志雄/特稿

下屆羅東鎮長選戰,國民黨確定由縣議員吳秋齡披掛上陣,現任鎮長林姿妙轉戰縣長,若採聯合作戰,發揮「母雞帶小雞」效應,民進黨不論自推人選或跨黨派合作,勢必都會陷入苦戰。

羅東鎮民國八十三年起由綠營游榮華、林聰賢接續執政十六年,一般認為,選民結構綠大於藍;八年前林姿妙突破重圍,連當兩屆鎮長,藍綠生態翻轉,地方政治生態出現微妙變化;縣議員吳秋齡、陳鴻禧力爭國民黨提名,選情強強滾,反觀民進黨靜悄悄,氣勢高下立判。

林姿妙獲國民黨徵召參選縣長,吳秋齡也在黨內初選勝出,接下來彼此相互拉抬,如果聯手啟動基層拔樁,營造出「西瓜偎大邊」政治氛圍,導致樁腳轉向,將對民進黨帶來更大壓力。

羅東鎮擁有豐沛的行政資源,屬於宜蘭縣大票倉,又是林姿妙根據地,羅東選情成了宜蘭縣年底五合一選舉重要指標。林姿妙、吳秋齡陸續站上戰鬥位置,扮演領頭羊角色,民進黨假如繼續紛紛擾擾,選情恐怕雪上加霜。

羅東鎮長選舉,藍綠陣營都有輸不起的壓力,國民黨目前以逸待勞,民進黨人選仍混沌不明,情勢明顯對綠營不利,若要扭轉劣勢,必須儘早覓得戰將穩定軍心,林姿妙、吳秋齡聯軍來勢洶洶,民進黨如何守住羅東基本盤,面臨嚴苛考驗。

報導來源:自由時報【原文網址

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